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Volume : III, Issue : IX, October - 2013 Analysis Of Rainfall And Its Future Trend In Relation To Climatic Change For Krishna District D. Ramesh , V. Srinivasa Rao And B. S. Dekhale Published By : Laxmi Book Publication Abstract : :Climatic change is always one of the most important topics in the world and it has significant impacts on ecological and hydrological processes. Understanding of rainfall variability helps in proper planning of agriculture and decision management. In this present study, seasonal forecasting models namely Box Jenkins and Winters additive models were used for the period of 1988 to 2012 in Krishna district and finally, regarding the comparison of error between models, Seasonal ARIMA approach was chosen as the most appropriate method for forecasting and then the monthly rainfall forecast from 2013-2015 years have been investigated by selected ARIMA (1,0,0)(1,1,2)s.
Keywords : Article : Cite This Article : D. Ramesh , V. Srinivasa Rao And B. S. Dekhale, (2013). Analysis Of Rainfall And Its Future Trend In Relation To Climatic Change For Krishna District. Indian Streams Research Journal, Vol. III, Issue. IX, http://oldisrj.lbp.world/UploadedData/3168.pdf References : - Abdul, A. R., Anokye, M., Bakhsh, A., Munyakazi, L. and Nuamah, N. N. 2013. Modeling and forecasting rainfall pattern in Ghana as a seasonal ARIMA process. International journal of Humanities and Social sciences. 3(3): 224-233.
- Box, G. E. and Jenkins, G. M. 1976. Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden Day. San Francisco.
- Firozi, F., Hossein, N. and Mahmood, K. 2013. Studying of Drought, modelling and forecasting of precipitation of Shiraz city. Archives of Applied Science Research. 5(3): 173-183.
- Graph Pad Software, Inc. 2005. Grubbs test for detecting outliers. San Diago.
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